Nigeria’s
economy was declared as the biggest in Africa in 2014. However, the
vulnerability of the economy nay the country has been exposed by the
perennial energy crisis the country has had to contend with.
By
energy crisis, I mean the challenges being faced by the citizenry in
getting affordable and steady supply of petroleum products and
electricity. Barely two weeks of a strike action by oil marketers and
unions, the country’s economy suddenly became comatose. As of Monday,
May 25, 2015, petroleum products had become so scarce and prices
astronomic to the extent that many public and private businesses either
ran skeletal operations or shut down completely.
Banks
began to close by 1pm instead of 4pm. Some electronic media outfits
drastically reduced their broadcast time from 24 hours to barely eight
hours per day. Telecommunications companies informed customers of their
intention to embark on degraded services while many flights were
cancelled by airline operators. Even the security sector was not left
out as there were reports that the Nigerian Police had to drastically
reduce its motorised patrols. Even many schools from primary to tertiary
could not function optimally as exemplified by the University of Ibadan
having to proceed on a two-week semester break due to the shortage of
light and water on the campus.
Thankfully, the Senate was on
Monday, May 25 able to secure some temporary relief for the country at a
multi-stakeholder meeting with striking players in the oil and gas
sector and the government. The unions promised to resume fuel lifting
within six hours. The question is: How long will this truce last? To the
best of my knowledge, the contentious issue of the disputed subsidy
claim has been largely unresolved but the striking workers may just have
agreed to go back to work in order to allow for a smooth transition of
power at the federal and state levels scheduled to take place on May 29.
I have proffered a number of solutions to the challenges in the
petroleum sector in my article on this column last week entitled,
“Resolving the petrol scarcity conundrum”. In that piece, I supported
the full deregulation of the downstream sector of the petroleum
industry; called for the turnaround maintenance of our four ailing
refineries or their outright sales; and the prosecution of those
involved in fuel subsidy scams.
In addition to these, I am
calling for the passage of the Petroleum Industry Bill and its assent by
the outgoing President. I am equally demanding the end to oil theft. An
estimated 60,000 to 100,000 barrels of crude oil per day is estimated
to being lost daily to those involved in oil theft. I am not unaware of
the setting up of joint military task force comprising the Navy, the
Army as well as members of the Nigerian Security and Civil Defence Corps
on one the hand and the multimillion naira oil pipeline protection
contracts given to some arrowheads of the Niger Delta militancy.
However, if truth must be told, these measures have been largely
unsuccessful as the oil theft has continued on an industrial scale. The
incoming administration of Muhammadu Buhari will need to demonstrate the
political will to rid the country of these economic saboteurs.
The
counterpart challenge of the energy crisis is that of epileptic
electricity supply. It is very disheartening that 55 years after
independence, Nigeria is still groping in darkness both literally and
metaphorically. Imagine, with all the much touted power sector reforms
which led to the establishment of the Nigerian Electricity Regulatory
Commission whose mission is to “promote and ensure an investor-friendly
industry and efficient market structure to meet the needs of Nigeria for
safe, adequate, reliable and affordable electricity”. The balkanisation
of the omnibus Power Holding Company of Nigeria into generation
companies, transmission company of Nigeria and Distribution companies as
well as the establishment of the Nigerian National Integrated Power
Projects which comprise of 11 independent power plants and four Federal
Government Power Stations located in Alaoji, Omotosho, Olorunsogo and
Geregu and the billions of dollars spent on subsidy and bailouts in the
sector, the country has little or no success story to share.
The
sing song has been that there is no gas to power the electricity
turbines. There were frequent allegations that gas pipelines were being
routinely vandalised. Even there have been several reported cases of
theft of electricity cables by some scoundrels. Not only that, some
DISCOs also allege energy theft by electricity consumers who engage in
illegal connections and non-payment of electricity tariffs. There was
also the challenge of frequent system collapse such as was reported last
Sunday at the Shiroro Hydro-electric Power Plant in Niger State.
Before
the system collapse at Shiroro, just 48 hours earlier, precisely on
Friday, May 23, the Permanent Secretary, Federal Ministry of Power,
Ambassador Godknows Igali, had said power generation nationwide had
dropped from about 4,800MW to 1,327MW, leading to the massive load
shedding across the country. As a result of the ugly development, the
power allocation to the Abuja Electricity Distribution Company was
reduced from about 450MW to 15MW. Surprisingly, even with the worsening
electricity supply, the DISCOs are still in the habit of sending
estimate bill otherwise known as crazy bills to customers because the
company marketers want to meet their financial targets. Ordinarily,
every house is supposed to be metered but only a few percentage of the
electricity consumers have been issued with pre-paid meters.
The
real issues are: Shall we continue with the lamentations about
sabotage, incompetence, inadequate funding, theft and so on? Is
electricity generation, transmission and distribution a rocket science
and esoteric? How come we have not been able to diversify our
electricity generation beyond hydro and thermal? What about the solar,
wind, and coal as alternative sources? For me, we cannot continually run
Nigeria’s economy on contraption called electricity generators and
think we will solve the problem of unemployment and poverty. The cost of
doing business in Nigeria will only significantly reduce when
individuals and private owned companies ceases to generate light and
water for their businesses. Let’s think of how many lives have been lost
to carbon monoxide emissions from power generators; let’s spare a
thought for the environmental degradation caused by the toxic emissions
from the generations; the air and noise pollution and the ozone layer
depletion leading to climate change all traceable to the pollutants from
the electricity generators.
I really do not envy the incoming
administration of Muhammadu Buhari. Uneasy, they say, lies the head that
wears the crown. If only the APC government can help solve the
country’s energy problems, then it would have given the country
something to cheer and indeed live up to its change mantra.
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