The World Bank Tuesday said there had been positive economic trend as
well as significant progress made towards poverty eradication in the
country.
It said in its second edition of the Nigeria
Economic Report (NER) which was launched in Abuja that going by the
recent rebasing of the economy as well as analysis from the new General
Household Surveys (GHS) conducted by the National Bureau of Statistics
(NBS) with the support of the Bank, new poverty estimates in 2010/2011
and 2012/2013 should be within the range of 35.2 per cent and 33.1 per
cent respectively.
Although the previous NBS
Harmonised Nigeria Living Standards Survey (HNLSS) 2009/2010, which took
a larger study sample into account had estimated poverty rate at 62.6
percent, the Breton woods institution said it had strong reasons to
believe that "consumption was seriously underestimated in the large
HNLSS household survey in 2009/2010."
It stated that an
analysis of a panel survey data (GHS) of 5000 households for 2010/2011
and 2012/2013 provided "evidence that consumption is likely higher than
previously estimated from the HNLSS survey."
Furthermore, the
new GHS analysis put rural poverty at 46.3 per cent and 44.9 per cent in
2010/2011 and 2012/2013 respectively compared to 69.1 per cent and 51.2
per cent respectively in the HNLSS 2009/2010 estimates by the NBS.
The World Bank estimates further suggested that the number of poor
Nigerians remained at 58 million adding that more than half of the
figure are located in the North- east or North- west. Specifically, it
noted:" Poverty rates range from 16 per cent in the South- West to 52
per cent in the North-East. While the South and North central
experienced declines in the poverty rate between 2010/2011 and
2012/2013, the poverty rate increased almost unchanged in the North
West."
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